If you're running in a "D+" county or district, consider this:
In the last two national elections, 170 Republicans ran in districts from D+1 to D+10, as rated by the Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI).
How many won? Four.
Doesn't mean you can't win but you probably could use a course correction. Listen to someone who's done it before. Take a few minutes and read some of the articles here. It could change your life.
The Opportunity and the Challenge
This is the perfect time to revive that lost art because the polling tells us that traditionally-Democrat voting blocs are reconsidering their collective loyalties. What the polling really means is that millions of voters are open to the idea of changing parties. It doesn't mean they will. They need to hear it from those they know and respect. For the candidate, that means recruiting and organizing not a squad but a batttalion of donors, workers and endorsers.
Need help getting this done?
That's where we come in.
We can create your precinct analysis, generate a list of several thousand fund-raising and volunteer prospects, and provide a system to manage the stampede of absentee and early voters that begins at the end of September. And we'll help you establish that all-important plan.
So get in touch. Let us join your team. From here on out, every shot must count.
How Republicans can win this year
Forget the pundits. Controlling both houses of Congress is likely if GOP candidates follow the plan that's worked before.
If most Congressional districts lean Republican, then why do Democrats control Congress?
Because Republicans forgot how to win. Or perhaps never learned.
The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voting Index rates 220 of the 435 Congressional districts as "R plus", and 208 as "D plus". Seven are listed as even. If the Republicans merely were to win all of the R-plus and even districts, they would enjoy a 19-seat majority. But in 2022 the Republicans allowed the Democrats to win 13 of the R-plus seats. In a year that was supposed to be a Republican "wave".
What is wrong here?
When candidates cannot recruit or raise money, campaigns develop an over-reliance on centralized fund-raising and electronic communication, relying less on local fund-raising and in-person electioneering. The result is an anemic, half-hearted attack insufficient to dislodge a popular, well-organized opponent.
Here's the good news: turning things around this year -- breaking the Democrat hold on Republican seats, winning a few of theirs and regaining a large majority of Congress -- isn't so far-fetched.